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Article overview:

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽Fundamental analysis traders look at events,central banks, political risk, or capital flows

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽Technical analysis looks at historical levels,patterns or charting tools.

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 Is fundamental analysis or technical analysis superior in Forex Trading?

What is fundamental analysis?

Fundamental analysis uses the following to value and asset or policy:

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽political/geo-political

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽economic

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽fiscal flows

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽market behavior/psychology

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽monetary policy

Understanding fundamental analysis is a steep learning curve, but in our opinion, it is the most logical way to trade. The Webster Dictionary defines the word 鈥渇undamentals鈥 as the central or primary rule or principle on which something is based.

When looking at markets, Forex specifically, it makes sense to understand and trade the way on which the market is based. Understanding how the large central banks are conducting monetary policy can help you value a currency. The large central banks comprise of Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England and the European Central Bank.

2014 Eur/usd, United States ending QE
2014 Eur/usd selloff. USA announcing end of QE

What is technical analysis?

In simple terms, technical analysis is evaluating the price of an asset. This is done by looking at:

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽historical price levels

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽charting tools (trend lines,Fibonacci)

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽moving averages

路聽聽聽聽聽聽聽patterns, and indicators.

Within charting tools, there could be another 20 indicators:channels, harmonics, patterns, lines, Elliot wave, candlesticks, pitchforks鈥 it could go on and on! 聽Tradingview would be considered the technical analyst鈥檚 dream platform.

All of these analysis tools can be very overwhelming to beginner entering the industry. The majority of people will usually gravitate towards their ideal support and resistance, trend lines, and candlestick patterns.

It is important to utilize key levels and understand where price could potentially be valued as cheap or expensive. The Forex market consists of large individuals (institutions, funds, companies) buying and selling currency at specified prices. The price the use is deemed a fair price to buy or sell. It would only make sense for us to align ourselves with those individuals as well.

鈥淏ut I trade news鈥︹

Many will associate 鈥渘ews鈥 trading to fundamentals. There's a lot more to fundamental trading than just looking at micro news events.Similar to trading earnings in the stock market, trading news in Fx is the quickest way to lose your account.

We receive this particular question often: There was US dollar news and it came out good, but the US dollar didn鈥檛 do what it was supposed to do. Why?.

You鈥檝e probably asked a similar question yourself. The answer isn鈥檛 as straightforward as you would hope for. Simply, there are a lot of factors to the market that many beginners completely ignore or just do not have access to. The lack of knowledge about which something is based, in this case the market, causes a lot of confusion and wrongful assumptions.

Which analysis is superior?

The FX market is very dynamic and has a lot of moving components. To truly reach your potential, traders must have a good understanding of fundamentals and what is truly driving the market.

When driving a car, we need to understand the basics of how a car functions and how to use it on the road. There would be a lot more accidents if drivers couldn鈥檛 understand the basis of driving.

In regard Forex trading, the most important thing is to understand the basis of how market operates. Fundamental analysis is superior to technical analysis since we can rationalize why the market, we are trading is moving the way it is. Technical analysis still has relevance to trading and should also be considered, but fundamental analysis should come first.

To help support our position, you should check out the Mad Hedge Fund Manager鈥s thoughts on this matter:

Technical Analysis is useless

Mad hedgefund manager- Why Technical Analysis Is Useless

Source- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4128813-technical-analysis-useless

Posted聽
June 1, 2019
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